Chapulineros vs Tritons Vallarta: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Chapulineros. The most likely score is 0-0. If Tritons Vallarta wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapulineros vs Tritons Vallarta?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Chapulineros (1,784) and Tritons Vallarta (1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chapulineros vs Tritons Vallarta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Tritons Vallarta
Not enough data to predict the Tritons Vallarta lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapulineros have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Tritons Vallarta have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Chapulineros score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tritons Vallarta score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapulineros | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tritons Vallarta | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapulineros sit 11th in Primera Premier (8 points from 7 matches) and Tritons Vallarta sit 18th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chapulineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 18 | Tritons Vallarta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
A question about Chapulineros vs Tritons Vallarta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapulineros vs Tritons Vallarta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Chapulineros.
- Where and when is Chapulineros vs Tritons Vallarta played?
- Chapulineros vs Tritons Vallarta is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Racing de VeracruzvsLos Cabos United
- Oct 24, 2026Pioneros de CancúnvsZacatepec 1948
- Oct 24, 2026Deportiva VenadosvsTigres de Alica
- Oct 24, 2026TapachulavsH2O Purepechas
- Oct 25, 2026Jaguares de ChiapasvsReboceros La Piedad
- Oct 25, 2026Inter Playa del CarmenvsIrapuato
- Oct 25, 2026CelayavsCordobés
- Oct 25, 2026MontañesesvsLobos ULMX