Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lillestrom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta Vigo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
On Elo ratings, Celta Vigo has 2,084 points and Lillestrom 2,047.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 19W. Swedberg
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 5Sergio Carreira
- 14Aleix Febas
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 18Yoel Lago
- 20Javi Rodríguez
- 13I. Radu
Lillestrom
4-3-3- 20Vá
- 22D. Bassi
- 8F. Gulbrandsen
- 14G. Nyheim
- 21F. Ottosson
- 29Y. Ibrahimaj
- 2L. Ranger
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 26Y. Paintsil
- 47S. Kristiansen
- 12P. Dahlberg
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Lillestrom have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lillestrom score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lillestrom | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta Vigo sit 28th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 2 matches) and Lillestrom sit 23rd (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lillestrom | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 28 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lillestrom.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom played?
- Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom is played on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.