Marseille vs Anderlecht: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Anderlecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marseille wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marseille vs Anderlecht?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Marseille (2,067) and Anderlecht (2,087).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marseille vs Anderlecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marseille
4-2-3-1- 9A. Gouiri
- 8H. Abdelli
- 77A. Harit
- 7A. Gomes
- 14Igor Paixão
- 23P. Højbjerg
- 4C. Egan-Riley
- 33Emerson
- 22T. Weah
- 21N. Aguerd
- 12J. de Lange
Anderlecht
4-4-2- 14D. Sikan
- 21T. Bentayeb
- 18L. Ambros
- 10M. Winkler
- 55M. Kana
- 30I. Koutsoupias
- 6L. Augustinsson
- 27L. Pétrot
- 79A. Maamar
- 12A. Omobamidele
- 26C. Coosemans
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Anderlecht have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Reims(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Anderlecht score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Anderlecht | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 32nd in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Anderlecht sit 22nd (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Marseille vs Anderlecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marseille vs Anderlecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Anderlecht.
- Where and when is Marseille vs Anderlecht played?
- Marseille vs Anderlecht is played on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Orange Vélodrome, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.