Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Hapoel Beer Sheva. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Bournemouth starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (2,277 vs 2,046).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bournemouth
4-4-2- 9Evanilson
- 30Á. Rodríguez
- 16M. Tavernier
- 12T. Adams
- 4L. Cook
- 37Rayan
- 14António Silva
- 15A. Smith
- 5J. Hill
- 3A. Truffert
- 1Đ. Petrović
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3- 45M. Abu Rumi
- 66I. Zlatanović
- 9Z. Ahmed
- 7E. Peretz
- 17A. Forson
- 25Lucas Ventura
- 5Pedro Amador
- 2G. Mizrahi
- 44D. Diop
- 15I. Nachmias
- 1O. Marciano
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bournemouth have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Beer Sheva have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 2-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bournemouth score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 2.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bournemouth sit 5th in UEFA Europa League (6 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 25th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bournemouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 25 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Hapoel Beer Sheva.
- Where and when is Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva played?
- Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is played on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Vitality Stadium, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.