Plzen vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab AI model makes Plzen the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plzen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs Jagiellonia?
On Elo ratings, Plzen has 2,037 points and Jagiellonia 1,941.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plzen vs Jagiellonia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plzen
4-2-3-1- 25C. Kabongo
- 17P. Hrošovský
- 99A. Memić
- 9D. Višinský
- 6L. Červ
- 18T. Ladra
- 40S. Dweh
- 14Merchas Doski
- 29A. Gabriel
- 98F. Prebsl
- 44F. Wiegele
Jagiellonia
4-3-3- 7K. Szmyt
- 99N. Prelec
- 72K. Jóźwiak
- 19A. Klynge
- 6T. Romanczuk
- 14H. Finndell
- 27Rodrigo Conceição
- 5Bernardo Vital
- 4Y. Kobayashi
- 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
- 50S. Abramowicz
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 06:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jagiellonia have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(away) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Jagiellonia | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 33rd in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 3 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 27th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Plzen vs Jagiellonia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Jagiellonia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plzen the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Jagiellonia.
- Where and when is Plzen vs Jagiellonia played?
- Plzen vs Jagiellonia is played on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.