Juventus vs Real Sociedad: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadium, Torino
The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Juventus wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,572 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventus vs Real Sociedad?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Juventus (2,198) and Real Sociedad (2,177).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Juventus vs Real Sociedad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Juventus
3-4-1-2- 9R. Kolo Muani
- 27N. Woltemade
- 22W. McKennie
- 12Douglas Luiz
- 20A. Cambiaso
- 8T. Koopmeiners
- 15P. Kalulu
- 4F. Gatti
- 3Bremer
- 6L. Kelly
- 25G. Vicario
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 18Carlos Soler
- 14T. Kubo
- 6Jon Martín
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 5Zubeldia
- 13Unai Marrero
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 08:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Real Sociedad have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Juventus score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventus sit 7th in UEFA Europa League (7 points from 3 matches) and Real Sociedad sit 14th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
A question about Juventus vs Real Sociedad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Real Sociedad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Juventus the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad.
- Where and when is Juventus vs Real Sociedad played?
- Juventus vs Real Sociedad is played on January 28, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadium, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.