Celta Vigo vs Sevilla: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sevilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta Vigo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Celta Vigo (2,098) and Sevilla (2,066).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta Vigo vs Sevilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 14Aleix Febas
- 22Javi Galán
- 18Yoel Lago
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 13I. Radu
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 9R. Ure
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 8G. Kochorashvili
- 30Miguel Ángel
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Sevilla have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Celta Vigo wins, 1 draw, 1 Sevilla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Celta Vigo 1-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Sevilla 0-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Celta Vigo 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sevilla 1-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Sevilla | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta Vigo sit 9th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Sevilla sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sevilla.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Sevilla played?
- Celta Vigo vs Sevilla is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.