Celta Vigo vs Sevilla: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Sevilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Celta Vigo (2,118) and Sevilla (2,055).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sevilla have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Celta Vigo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sevilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Celta Vigo 1-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Sevilla 0-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Celta Vigo 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sevilla 1-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sevilla | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta Vigo sit 12th in La Liga (1 points from 1 matches) and Sevilla sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Sevilla?
- The Footlab model makes Celta Vigo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Sevilla.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Sevilla played?
- Celta Vigo vs Sevilla is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.