Match

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec

CF MontrealAtlanta United FC

The Footlab AI model makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlanta United FC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?

Atlanta United FC starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,692).

33%26%41%
CF Montreal winDrawAtlanta United FC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CF Montreal

3-4-1-2
  1. 9P. Owusu
  2. 14D. Ríos
  1. 22V. Loturi
  2. 13L. Petrasso
  3. 10A. Sánchez
  4. 8M. Longstaff
  5. 27D. Bugaj
  1. 2J. Neal
  2. 3B. Ceballos
  3. 5B. Craig
  1. 1S. Breza

Atlanta United FC

4-3-3
  1. 36B. Embolo
  2. 48C. Sanchez
  3. 59A. Miranchuk
  1. 8T. Muyumba
  2. 11G. Galoppo
  3. 14M. Amaro
  1. 55T. Jacob
  2. 3E. Báez
  3. 6J. Alonso
  4. 4E. Mihaj
  1. 1L. Hoyos

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:26 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Atlanta United FC have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Montreal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026FC Cincinnati(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026Columbus Crew(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)2-1Canadian Championship
Sep 13, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Charlotte(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026New York City FC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Portland Timbers(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026DC United(away)0-0Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Orlando City SC(home)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2026Inter Miami(away)2-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CF Montreal wins, 2 draws, 2 Atlanta United FC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Atlanta United FC 3-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Aug 9, 2025CF Montreal 1-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025Atlanta United FC 3-2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Oct 22, 2024CF Montreal 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Oct 2, 2024Atlanta United FC 1-2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Jul 13, 2024CF Montreal 1-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CF Montreal score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CF Montreal1.01.719/157/15
Atlanta United FC1.31.9210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CF Montreal sit 15th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 27 matches) and Atlanta United FC sit 14th (27 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Atlanta United FC277614324527
15CF Montreal276615345424

A question about CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?
The Footlab AI model makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for CF Montreal.
Where and when is CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC played?
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: CF Montreal and Atlanta United FC

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