Where and when is CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC played?

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec

CF Montreal

Atlanta United FC

The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Atlanta United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate CF Montreal (1,788) and Atlanta United FC (1,695).

CF Montreal win51 %

Draw24 %

Atlanta United FC win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Atlanta United FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Montreal
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Columbus Crew(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	DC United(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Minnesota United FC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New York Red Bulls(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Charlotte(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CF Montreal win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atlanta United FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Atlanta United FC 3-1 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Aug 9, 2025	CF Montreal 1-1 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025	Atlanta United FC 3-2 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Oct 22, 2024	CF Montreal 2-2 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2024	Atlanta United FC 1-2 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2024	CF Montreal 1-0 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CF Montreal score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CF Montreal	1.7	1.4	3	9/15	9/15
Atlanta United FC	1.3	1.8	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CF Montreal sit 13th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Atlanta United FC sit 15th (18 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	CF Montreal	21	5	6	10	29	39	21
15	Atlanta United FC	20	5	3	12	23	35	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC?: The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Atlanta United FC.
Where and when is CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC played?: CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.