Match

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)CITYPARK, St. Louis, Missouri

St. Louis CityVancouver Whitecaps

The Footlab AI model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Vancouver Whitecaps. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Louis City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

St. Louis City starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,834).

59%22%19%
St. Louis City winDrawVancouver Whitecaps win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

St. Louis City

3-4-3
  1. 23A. Mățan
  2. 9Rafael Navarro
  3. 19C. Holse
  1. 6C. Wallem
  2. 14T. Totland
  3. 8C. Durkin
  4. 24D. Edelman
  1. 32T. Baumgartl
  2. 21D. Polvara
  3. 27F. Fall
  1. 1R. Bürki

Vancouver Whitecaps

4-2-3-1
  1. 24B. White
  1. 8O. Larraz
  2. 11E. Sabbi
  3. 23A. Cvetković
  4. 25R. Gauld
  5. 13T. Müller
  1. 33T. Blackmon
  2. 28T. Johnson
  3. 2M. Laborda
  4. 70Rui Modesto
  1. 1Y. Takaoka

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Louis City have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Louis City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 30, 2026New York Red Bulls(away)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Toronto FC(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)3-0US Open Cup
Sep 13, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)4-2Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Portland Timbers(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Chicago Fire(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026DC United(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-2Canadian Championship
Sep 13, 2026Austin(home)1-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St. Louis City win, 1 draw, 4 Vancouver Whitecaps wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
Aug 24, 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025St. Louis City 0-0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024St. Louis City 1-4 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 4-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Louis City score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St. Louis City2.51.1411/1512/15
Vancouver Whitecaps1.71.358/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Louis City sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (47 points from 27 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st (50 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps271557602950
2St. Louis City271386483647

A question about St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The Footlab AI model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Vancouver Whitecaps.
Where and when is St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at CITYPARK, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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