Where and when is DC United vs New York Red Bulls played?

DC United vs New York Red Bulls is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Audi Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

DC United vs New York Red Bulls: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Audi Field, Washington, District of Columbia

DC United

New York Red Bulls

The Footlab model makes DC United the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for New York Red Bulls. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win DC United vs New York Red Bulls?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate DC United (1,650) and New York Red Bulls (1,710).

DC United win46 %

Draw23 %

New York Red Bulls win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DC United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; New York Red Bulls have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

DC United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Charlotte(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	0-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	CF Montreal(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Nashville SC(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Toronto FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chicago Fire(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Nashville SC(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Atlanta United FC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Orlando City SC(home)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Charlotte(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 DC United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 New York Red Bulls win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2026	New York Red Bulls 4-4 DC United	Major League Soccer
May 24, 2025	DC United 0-2 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025	New York Red Bulls 1-2 DC United	Major League Soccer
Jan 25, 2025	New York Red Bulls 1-1 DC United	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 29, 2024	New York Red Bulls 2-2 DC United	Major League Soccer
May 15, 2024	DC United 1-4 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: New York Red Bulls vs DC United on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; New York Red Bulls score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
DC United	1.7	1.9	2	12/15	10/15
New York Red Bulls	1.4	2.1	0	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

DC United sit 11th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 21 matches) and New York Red Bulls sit 8th (26 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	New York Red Bulls	21	7	5	9	31	43	26
11	DC United	21	5	9	7	28	36	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for DC United vs New York Red Bulls?: The Footlab model makes DC United the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for New York Red Bulls.
Where and when is DC United vs New York Red Bulls played?: DC United vs New York Red Bulls is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Audi Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.