Match

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee

Nashville SCSporting Kansas City

The Footlab AI model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Sporting Kansas City. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Nashville SC starts as the favourite with a 295-point Elo edge (2,025 vs 1,730).

71%17%12%
Nashville SC winDrawSporting Kansas City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nashville SC

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Surridge
  1. 10H. Mukhtar
  2. 7C. Espinoza
  3. 16M. Corcoran
  4. 11E. Saad
  5. 20E. Tagseth
  1. 3M. Woledzi
  2. 27R. Baker-Whiting
  3. 31A. Najar
  4. 4J. Palacios
  1. 99B. Schwake

Sporting Kansas City

4-4-2
  1. 19T. Calheira
  2. 17S. Afrifa
  1. 4L. Johnsen
  2. 14C. Harris
  3. 20K. Agyabeng
  4. 11André Luiz
  1. 18E. Karić
  2. 13J. Reynolds
  3. 28Wyatt Meyer
  4. 15Jansen Miller
  1. 30S. Cleveland

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nashville SC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting Kansas City have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nashville SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Toronto FC(home)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Chicago Fire(home)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Inter Miami(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Toronto FC(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2026New York City FC(away)0-0Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Philadelphia Union(home)3-4Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026FC Dallas(away)3-4Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Nashville SC wins, 0 draws, 2 Sporting Kansas City wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 30, 2024Nashville SC 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityFriendlies Clubs
Sep 21, 2023Sporting Kansas City 0-3 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022Nashville SC 1-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Apr 10, 2022Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
Oct 11, 2020Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City on Jan 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Nashville SC score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Kansas City score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nashville SC1.90.967/159/15
Sporting Kansas City1.42.1110/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nashville SC sit 1st in Major League Soccer (60 points from 27 matches) and Sporting Kansas City sit 15th (21 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Nashville SCEastern Conference271863552160
15Sporting Kansas CityWestern Conference276318326521

A question about Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The Footlab AI model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Sporting Kansas City.
Where and when is Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City played?
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City is played on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at GEODIS Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nashville SC and Sporting Kansas City

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