Where and when is Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City played?

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City is played on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at GEODIS Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee

Nashville SC

Sporting Kansas City

The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Sporting Kansas City. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Nashville SC is a heavy favourite: 1,910 Elo points against 1,604 — a 306-point gap.

Nashville SC win75 %

Draw16 %

Sporting Kansas City win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nashville SC have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting Kansas City have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nashville SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Columbus Crew(home)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	New York Red Bulls(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	4-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Monterrey(away)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Atletico San Luis(home)	4-1	Leagues Cup

Sporting Kansas City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Atlanta United FC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	St. Louis City(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Colorado Rapids(away)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	0-4	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Nashville SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sporting Kansas City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 30, 2024	Nashville SC 2-1 Sporting Kansas City	Friendlies Clubs
Sep 21, 2023	Sporting Kansas City 0-3 Nashville SC	Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022	Nashville SC 1-2 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Apr 10, 2022	Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Nashville SC	Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2020	Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Nashville SC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City on Jan 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Nashville SC score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Kansas City score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nashville SC	1.8	1.1	4	8/15	9/15
Sporting Kansas City	0.9	2.5	0	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nashville SC sit 1st in Major League Soccer (49 points from 21 matches) and Sporting Kansas City sit 15th (15 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	21	15	4	2	43	17	49
15	Sporting Kansas City	20	4	3	13	19	49	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?: The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Sporting Kansas City.
Where and when is Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City played?: Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City is played on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at GEODIS Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.