Match

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio

Columbus CrewCharlotte

The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Charlotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Columbus Crew (1,808) and Charlotte (1,816).

Columbus Crew win50 %
Draw25 %
Charlotte win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Charlotte have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nashville SC(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026CF Montreal(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026CF Pachuca(home)2-1Leagues Cup
Charlotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026DC United(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Toronto FC(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Columbus Crew(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026CF Pachuca(home)0-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026Atlas(home)2-0Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Columbus Crew win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Charlotte win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Charlotte 3-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
May 24, 2025Charlotte 3-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
May 3, 2025Columbus Crew 4-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Jul 17, 2024Columbus Crew 1-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024Charlotte 2-0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Jun 3, 2023Columbus Crew 4-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Charlotte vs Columbus Crew on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Columbus Crew1.51.6212/1510/15
Charlotte1.71.147/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Columbus Crew sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 21 matches) and Charlotte sit 5th (32 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Charlotte21957383232
14Columbus Crew215511303620

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Charlotte.
Where and when is Columbus Crew vs Charlotte played?
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Columbus Crew and Charlotte

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