Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio
The Footlab AI model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Charlotte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Columbus Crew wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Columbus Crew (1,901) and Charlotte (1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Columbus Crew
3-4-3- 8S. Rodríguez
- 10Brais Méndez
- 77Josef Martínez
- 16T. Habroune
- 23M. Farsi
- 21A. Zaroury
- 20André Gomes
- 18M. Amundsen
- 25S. Zawadzki
- 31S. Moreira
- 28P. Schulte
Charlotte
4-3-3- 16Pep Biel
- 10A. Saint-Maximin
- 11L. Abada
- 8A. Westwood
- 28D. Diani
- 17L. de la Torre
- 22H. Kessler
- 3T. Ream
- 35Will Cleary
- 23D. Schnegg
- 1K. Kahlina
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Charlotte have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Orlando City SC(home) | 2-1 | US Open Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 9, 2026 | DC United(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 19, 2026 | DC United(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Columbus Crew wins, 1 draw, 3 Charlotte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte 3-1 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| May 24, 2025 | Charlotte 3-2 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| May 3, 2025 | Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Charlotte 2-0 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Charlotte vs Columbus Crew on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Charlotte | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Columbus Crew sit 12th in Major League Soccer (29 points from 27 matches) and Charlotte sit 5th (43 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 43 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | 29 |
A question about Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Charlotte.
- Where and when is Columbus Crew vs Charlotte played?
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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