Where and when is Inter Miami vs New York City FC played?

Inter Miami vs New York City FC is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Inter Miami vs New York City FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida

Inter Miami

New York City FC

The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for New York City FC. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,790).

Inter Miami win54 %

Draw22 %

New York City FC win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; New York City FC have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Inter Miami
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Toronto FC(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Nashville SC(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Leon(home)	2-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Monterrey(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup

New York City FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Philadelphia Union(home)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Necaxa(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	1-2	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Inter Miami win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 New York City FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	New York City FC 2-3 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer
Nov 29, 2025	Inter Miami 5-1 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2025	New York City FC 0-4 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025	Inter Miami 2-2 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2024	New York City FC 1-1 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024	Inter Miami 1-1 New York City FC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: New York City FC vs Inter Miami on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; New York City FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Inter Miami	2.5	2.2	2	13/15	12/15
New York City FC	1.3	1.3	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Inter Miami sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (39 points from 21 matches) and New York City FC sit 7th (27 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Inter Miami	21	11	6	4	49	40	39
7	New York City FC	21	7	6	8	35	30	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?: The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for New York City FC.
Where and when is Inter Miami vs New York City FC played?: Inter Miami vs New York City FC is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.