Where and when is CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati played?

CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec

CF Montreal

FC Cincinnati

The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Cincinnati. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate CF Montreal (1,788) and FC Cincinnati (1,852).

CF Montreal win43 %

Draw24 %

FC Cincinnati win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Montreal
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Columbus Crew(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	DC United(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Seattle Sounders(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	New York City FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CF Montreal win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 FC Cincinnati win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	FC Cincinnati 4-3 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025	FC Cincinnati 3-0 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2025	CF Montreal 1-3 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Jan 24, 2025	FC Cincinnati 1-0 CF Montreal	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 31, 2024	FC Cincinnati 4-1 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Apr 13, 2024	CF Montreal 2-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CF Montreal score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CF Montreal	1.7	1.4	3	9/15	9/15
FC Cincinnati	2.6	1.9	1	14/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CF Montreal sit 13th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 6th (31 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	FC Cincinnati	21	8	7	6	49	47	31
13	CF Montreal	21	5	6	10	29	39	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?: The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Cincinnati.
Where and when is CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati played?: CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.