Where and when is Austin vs San Diego played?

Austin vs San Diego is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Austin vs San Diego: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

Austin

San Diego

The Footlab model makes Austin the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for San Diego. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Austin vs San Diego?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Austin (1,729) and San Diego (1,809).

Austin win37 %

Draw25 %

San Diego win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; San Diego have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Austin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Philadelphia Union(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Seattle Sounders(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Club America(away)	1-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup

San Diego
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	3-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Portland Timbers(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	1-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Austin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 San Diego win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 14, 2026	San Diego 5-0 Austin	Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2025	San Diego 2-0 Austin	Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2025	Austin 2-1 San Diego	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: San Diego vs Austin on May 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Diego score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Austin	1.3	1.5	4	7/15	9/15
San Diego	1.7	1.5	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and San Diego sit 11th (27 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	San Diego	21	7	6	8	37	32	27
14	Austin	21	5	6	10	26	40	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Austin vs San Diego?: The Footlab model makes Austin the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for San Diego.
Where and when is Austin vs San Diego played?: Austin vs San Diego is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.