FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Los Angeles FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate FC Dallas (1,852) and Los Angeles FC (1,894).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Los Angeles FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 0-5 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 4-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Austin(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Dallas win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Los Angeles FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 24, 2025 | FC Dallas 1-1 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 2-0 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 22, 2024 | FC Dallas 3-1 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 2, 2023 | FC Dallas 2-0 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Dallas sit 5th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and Los Angeles FC sit 3rd (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 35 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 34 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Los Angeles FC.
- Where and when is FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC played?
- FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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