Match

FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

FC DallasLos Angeles FC

The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Los Angeles FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate FC Dallas (1,852) and Los Angeles FC (1,894).

FC Dallas win44 %
Draw25 %
Los Angeles FC win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Los Angeles FC have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Dallas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(away)0-5Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)4-3Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026Austin(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Toluca(away)1-3Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Guadalajara Chivas(away)1-0Leagues Cup
Los Angeles FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Portland Timbers(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026San Diego(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Club Queretaro(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Toluca(away)1-0Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Dallas win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Los Angeles FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Los Angeles FC 1-0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Aug 24, 2025FC Dallas 1-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025Los Angeles FC 2-0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024FC Dallas 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024Los Angeles FC 1-0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023FC Dallas 2-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Dallas1.71.649/1510/15
Los Angeles FC1.31.348/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Dallas sit 5th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and Los Angeles FC sit 3rd (35 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Los Angeles FC221057362235
5FC Dallas21966383433

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC?
The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Los Angeles FC.
Where and when is FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC played?
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Dallas and Los Angeles FC

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