Match

CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec

CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps

The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,788).

CF Montreal win25 %
Draw24 %
Vancouver Whitecaps win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Montreal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Columbus Crew(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026DC United(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026New England Revolution(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Inter Miami(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC Dallas(home)5-0Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Tigres UANL(away)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026FC Juarez(home)1-3Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CF Montreal win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Jul 6, 2024CF Montreal 1-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Jun 8, 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 CF MontrealCanadian Championship
Apr 2, 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Apr 16, 2022CF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
May 8, 2021Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal on Mar 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

CF Montreal score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CF Montreal1.71.439/159/15
Vancouver Whitecaps1.51.539/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CF Montreal sit 13th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st (40 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps201244451840
13CF Montreal215610293921

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for CF Montreal.
Where and when is CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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