CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | DC United(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 5-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CF Montreal win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 6, 2024 | CF Montreal 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 8, 2023 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 CF Montreal | Canadian Championship |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 16, 2022 | CF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| May 8, 2021 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CF Montreal score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Montreal sit 13th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st (40 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 40 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for CF Montreal.
- Where and when is CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
- CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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