Inter Miami vs Charlotte: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Charlotte. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Inter Miami (1,909) and Charlotte (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Charlotte have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leon(home) | 2-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | DC United(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Inter Miami win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Charlotte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Charlotte 0-0 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Charlotte 3-0 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Inter Miami 1-0 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Charlotte 1-2 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Charlotte 1-0 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Charlotte vs Inter Miami on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Charlotte | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Miami sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (39 points from 21 matches) and Charlotte sit 5th (32 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 40 | 39 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Charlotte.
- Where and when is Inter Miami vs Charlotte played?
- Inter Miami vs Charlotte is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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