Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
The Footlab model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Chicago Fire (1,851) and Columbus Crew (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chicago Fire have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Montreal(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chicago Fire win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Columbus Crew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Chicago Fire 2-0 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Columbus Crew 4-2 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| May 19, 2024 | Chicago Fire 1-3 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Columbus Crew 3-0 Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chicago Fire score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chicago Fire sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (36 points from 20 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 14th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 26 | 36 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
- The Footlab model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Columbus Crew.
- Where and when is Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew played?
- Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Soldier Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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