Match

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Chicago FireColumbus Crew

The Footlab AI model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chicago Fire wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Chicago Fire (1,939) and Columbus Crew (1,914).

43%24%33%
Chicago Fire winDrawColumbus Crew win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chicago Fire

4-4-2
  1. 7M. Haile-Selassie
  2. 9R. Lewandowski
  1. 19J. Bamba
  2. 6A. Salétros
  3. 11P. Zinckernagel
  4. 42T. D'Avilla
  1. 3J. Elliott
  2. 24J. Dean
  3. 4M. Mbokazi
  4. 2Leonardo Barroso
  1. 1C. Brady

Columbus Crew

3-4-3
  1. 8S. Rodríguez
  2. 10Brais Méndez
  3. 77Josef Martínez
  1. 16T. Habroune
  2. 23M. Farsi
  3. 21A. Zaroury
  4. 7D. Chambost
  1. 18M. Amundsen
  2. 25S. Zawadzki
  3. 31S. Moreira
  1. 28P. Schulte

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chicago Fire have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Columbus Crew have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chicago Fire
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Philadelphia Union(home)1-3Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026New York City FC(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Oct 7, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 26, 2026Charlotte(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-3Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Charlotte(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026Orlando City SC(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Inter Miami(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026Orlando City SC(home)2-1US Open Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chicago Fire win, 1 draw, 4 Columbus Crew wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Sep 28, 2025Chicago Fire 2-0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025Columbus Crew 4-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
May 19, 2024Chicago Fire 1-3 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Sep 20, 2023Columbus Crew 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chicago Fire score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chicago Fire1.71.6113/1512/15
Columbus Crew1.51.6211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chicago Fire sit 4th in Major League Soccer (48 points from 29 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 13th (32 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Chicago Fire291469524348
13Columbus Crew299515444732

A question about Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
The Footlab AI model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Columbus Crew.
Where and when is Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew played?
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Soldier Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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