Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington
The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Los Angeles FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Seattle Sounders (1,796) and Los Angeles FC (1,891).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seattle Sounders have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Los Angeles FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Seattle Sounders win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Los Angeles FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| May 15, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 4-0 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Seattle Sounders 5-2 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 1-2 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Seattle Sounders 0-1 Los Angeles FC | US Open Cup |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Seattle Sounders 0-3 Los Angeles FC | Leagues Cup |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seattle Sounders sit 13th in Major League Soccer (25 points from 20 matches) and Los Angeles FC sit 3rd (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 35 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?
- The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Los Angeles FC.
- Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC played?
- Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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