Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC played?

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania

Philadelphia Union

Toronto FC

The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Toronto FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Philadelphia Union (1,779) and Toronto FC (1,784).

Philadelphia Union win50 %

Draw25 %

Toronto FC win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Philadelphia Union have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Toronto FC have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Austin(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

Toronto FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Inter Miami(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Charlotte(home)	3-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2026	New York City FC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	DC United(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Philadelphia Union win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Toronto FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2026	Toronto FC 3-3 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Aug 9, 2025	Philadelphia Union 1-1 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer
May 28, 2025	Toronto FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2024	Toronto FC 2-1 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
May 29, 2024	Philadelphia Union 0-0 Toronto FC	Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2023	Toronto FC 3-1 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Philadelphia Union score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Toronto FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Philadelphia Union	1.7	1.8	2	10/15	8/15
Toronto FC	1.5	1.9	2	13/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Philadelphia Union sit 13th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Toronto FC sit 10th (24 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Toronto FC	21	5	9	7	31	37	24
13	Philadelphia Union	21	5	6	10	31	38	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?: The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Toronto FC.
Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC played?: Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.