New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, New Jersey
The Footlab model makes New York Red Bulls the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Atlanta United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate New York Red Bulls (1,713) and Atlanta United FC (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York Red Bulls have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Atlanta United FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orlando City SC(home) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charlotte(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | New England Revolution(away) | 1-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New York Red Bulls win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Atlanta United FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Atlanta United FC 3-2 New York Red Bulls | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2025 | New York Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Atlanta United FC 0-0 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Atlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 21, 2024 | New York Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta United FC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
New York Red Bulls score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlanta United FC | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
New York Red Bulls sit 8th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 21 matches) and Atlanta United FC sit 15th (18 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 43 | 26 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
- The Footlab model makes New York Red Bulls the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Atlanta United FC.
- Where and when is New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC played?
- New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Sports Illustrated Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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