CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Matchday 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Restelo, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Oliveirense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,780 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense?
CF Os Belenenses starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,868).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Os Belenenses
4-3-3- 23Bruninho
- 33Chamito
- 11João Oliveira
- 17Diogo Leitão
- 21T. Morgado
- 14A. Afonso
- 4Nuno Tomás
- 66Cesinha
- 15João Lucas
- 58David Monteiro
- 99Guilherme Oliveira
Oliveirense
4-3-3- 10Joao Tavares
- 22R. Rei
- 95Théo Fonseca
- 8Vasco Braga
- 6J. Daniel
- 78D. Sancho
- 14Simão Martins
- 55Luís Bastos
- 24Gonçalo Loureiro
- 13Vasco de Cunha Santos
- 33Unai Pérez
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Os Belenenses have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Oliveirense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 3-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 CF Os Belenenses wins, 0 draws, 0 Oliveirense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oliveirense 1-2 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Oliveirense 1-2 CF Os Belenenses | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 10, 2023 | CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Oliveirense | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Oliveirense vs CF Os Belenenses on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Os Belenenses score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oliveirense score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Os Belenenses | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Oliveirense | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Os Belenenses sit 1st in Liga 3 (21 points from 9 matches) and Oliveirense sit 3rd (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
A question about CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Oliveirense.
- Where and when is CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense played?
- CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveirense is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Restelo, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.