Louletano vs Mafra: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Algarve, Almancil
The Footlab AI model makes Louletano the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mafra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Louletano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Louletano vs Mafra?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Louletano (2,019) and Mafra (1,994).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Louletano vs Mafra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Louletano
4-3-3- 27N. Martelo
- 23Daniel Paulino
- 9Gonçalo Teixeira
- 3Tiago Correia
- 8Sander Ramires
- 10Vítor Gonçalves
- 97Elvis Mendes
- 12Gabriel Passos
- 14Luca van der Gaag
- 29R. Teixeira
- 71Marcão
Mafra
4-3-3- 7R. Matos
- 9Mamor Niang
- 11Leandro Alves
- 46Braima Samú
- 37A. Ba
- 6Y. Maïga
- 5Gonçalo Cardoso
- 2M. Camara
- 3Kauê Alves
- 13Celso Raposo
- 33Pedro Silva
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Louletano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mafra have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Serpa(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Castrense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Louletano score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mafra score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louletano | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Mafra | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Louletano sit 5th in Liga 3 (7 points from 6 matches) and Mafra sit 4th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Louletano vs Mafra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Louletano vs Mafra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Louletano the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mafra.
- Where and when is Louletano vs Mafra played?
- Louletano vs Mafra is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Algarve, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.