São João Ver vs Paredes: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube São João de Ver, São João de Ver
The Footlab AI model makes Paredes the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for São João Ver. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paredes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São João Ver vs Paredes?
Paredes starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,063 vs 1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for São João Ver vs Paredes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
São João Ver
4-3-3- 17L. Soares
- 11Gui Azevedo
- 7J. Machado
- 29Rodrigo Valente
- 33Washington Santana
- 90L. Capanni
- 55M. Vilela
- 4Bruno Morais
- 21Rui Bruno
- 61R. Vilela
- 30S. M. Junior J.
Paredes
4-3-3- 11F. Almara
- 7Miguel
- 14Erik
- 8Diogo Silva
- 10Daniel Rodrigues
- 6B. Val
- 3Dénis Duarte
- 13João Vigário
- 44Gustavo Fernandes
- 2P. Araujo
- 31Fábio Matos
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São João Ver have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Paredes have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 São João Ver wins, 2 draws, 2 Paredes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paredes 2-1 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Paredes 0-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | São João Ver 3-1 Paredes | Liga 3 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | São João Ver 1-2 Paredes | Liga 3 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Paredes 0-0 São João Ver | Liga 3 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | São João Ver 4-1 Paredes | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Paredes vs São João Ver on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
São João Ver score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Paredes score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São João Ver | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Paredes | 2.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São João Ver sit 7th in Liga 3 (9 points from 8 matches) and Paredes sit 1st (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about São João Ver vs Paredes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São João Ver vs Paredes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paredes the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for São João Ver.
- Where and when is São João Ver vs Paredes played?
- São João Ver vs Paredes is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube São João de Ver, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.