Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Capital do Móvel, Paços de Ferreira
The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Pacos Ferreira. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fafe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,928 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe?
Fafe starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,000 vs 1,866).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pacos Ferreira
4-3-3- 99Platiny
- 7João Pedro
- 96Miguel Falé
- 8Nuno Cunha
- 19Tomás Castro
- 6Tomás Podstawski
- 33Rafael Vieira
- 22Junio Wesley
- 15Leandro Dias
- 85D. Castro
- 1Rafa
Fafe
4-3-3- 13Tiago Veiga
- 11Picas
- 9M. Correia
- 10Daniel Carvalho
- 24João Amaral
- 35Filipe Cardoso
- 26João Batista
- 2Obama Ribeiro
- 15Breno
- 3P. Pereira
- 1P. Kudakovskiy
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 04:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pacos Ferreira have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Fafe have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lajense(home) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Pacos Ferreira wins, 1 draw, 2 Fafe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Fafe 3-1 Pacos Ferreira | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira 0-1 Fafe | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Fafe 1-1 Pacos Ferreira | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira on Oct 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pacos Ferreira score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fafe score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacos Ferreira | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Fafe | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pacos Ferreira sit 9th in Liga 3 (8 points from 8 matches) and Fafe sit 4th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Pacos Ferreira.
- Where and when is Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe played?
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio da Capital do Móvel, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.