CFFA vs Lijabatho: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes CFFA the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Lijabatho. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CFFA vs Lijabatho?
Lijabatho starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,500).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, CFFA have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Lijabatho have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2022 | Royal Leopards(away) | 1-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Royal Leopards(home) | 2-3 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Interclube(home) | 0-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 0-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mzamane(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Matlama(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Lioli(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | LMPS(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | LCS(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
CFFA score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 5; Lijabatho score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFFA | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Lijabatho | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CFFA vs Lijabatho?
- The Footlab model makes CFFA the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Lijabatho.
- Where and when is CFFA vs Lijabatho played?
- CFFA vs Lijabatho is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.