Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Chacarita Juniors (1,705) and Deportivo Maipu (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chacarita Juniors have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Deportivo Maipu have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Quilmes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Midland(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 4-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chacarita Juniors win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Maipu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu 3-2 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Deportivo Maipu 0-2 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Chacarita Juniors 2-0 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Chacarita Juniors 2-1 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Deportivo Maipu 0-2 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Maipu score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chacarita Juniors | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chacarita Juniors sit 16th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 26 matches) and Deportivo Maipu sit 6th (38 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 27 | 38 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 28 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maipu the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Chacarita Juniors.
- Where and when is Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu played?
- Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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