Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta, Provincia de Salta
The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Y Tiro the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Atlanta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Gimnasia Y Tiro (1,802) and Atlanta (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia Y Tiro have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Atlanta have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Central Norte(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Temperley(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Temperley(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(away) | 2-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gimnasia Y Tiro win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Atlanta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Atlanta 1-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-2 Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| May 24, 2025 | Atlanta 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Atlanta 1-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atlanta vs Gimnasia Y Tiro on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnasia Y Tiro score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Atlanta | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 7th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 26 matches) and Atlanta sit 4th (42 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlanta | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 25 | 42 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Y Tiro the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Atlanta.
- Where and when is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta played?
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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