San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Los Polvorines, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Ciudad de Bolívar. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate San Miguel (1,717) and Ciudad de Bolívar (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Ciudad de Bolívar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colegiales(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Telmo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Acassuso(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almirante Brown(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 San Miguel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar 1-1 San Miguel | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Miguel on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Miguel score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Miguel sit 11th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 25 matches) and Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th (35 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 35 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
- The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Ciudad de Bolívar.
- Where and when is San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar played?
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chacarita JuniorsvsDeportivo Maipu
- Oct 10, 2026Colon Santa FevsAlmirante Brown
- Oct 10, 2026San Martin S.J.vsTemperley
- Oct 10, 2026AgropecuariovsColegiales
- Oct 10, 2026Atletico DE RafaelavsQuilmes
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo MoronvsAtletico Mitre
- Oct 10, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsRacing Cordoba
- Oct 10, 2026Godoy CruzvsCA Estudiantes