Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Almirante Brown. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Colon Santa Fe (1,777) and Almirante Brown (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colon Santa Fe have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Almirante Brown have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Colon Santa Fe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Almirante Brown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Almirante Brown 1-1 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Colon Santa Fe 1-0 Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Almirante Brown 2-0 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Almirante Brown 0-0 Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Colon Santa Fe 2-1 Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colon Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Almirante Brown score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colon Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Almirante Brown | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colon Santa Fe sit 3rd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 26 matches) and Almirante Brown sit 5th (41 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown?
- The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Almirante Brown.
- Where and when is Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown played?
- Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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