Chainat vs Phrae United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chainat vs Phrae United?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Phrae United (1,445).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chainat win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Phrae United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Phrae United 2-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Chainat 1-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Phrae United 1-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Chainat 0-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Phrae United 0-2 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Chainat 1-2 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Chainat on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Phrae United sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Phrae United?
- The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Phrae United.
- Where and when is Chainat vs Phrae United played?
- Chainat vs Phrae United is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026UttaraditvsMuangthong United
- Sep 5, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsSongkhla
- Sep 5, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Sep 5, 2026ChanthaburivsKhon Kaen United
- Sep 5, 2026Nakhon PathomvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Sep 6, 2026Police TerovsMuang Loei United
- Sep 6, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsKasetsart FC
- Sep 6, 2026SatunvsKanchanaburi