Chiangmai United vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangmai United vs Esan Pattaya?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Chiangmai United (1,430) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chiangmai United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Esan Pattaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Esan Pattaya 4-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Chiangmai United 1-2 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Esan Pattaya 0-3 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Chiangmai United 2-1 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Chiangmai United 2-0 Esan Pattaya | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Esan Pattaya 2-2 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai United on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangmai United sit 10th in Thai League 2 (43 points from 34 matches) and Esan Pattaya sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Esan Pattaya?
- The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Esan Pattaya played?
- Chiangmai United vs Esan Pattaya is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026UttaraditvsMuangthong United
- Sep 5, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsSongkhla
- Sep 5, 2026ChanthaburivsKhon Kaen United
- Sep 5, 2026Nakhon PathomvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Sep 6, 2026Police TerovsMuang Loei United
- Sep 6, 2026ChainatvsPhrae United
- Sep 6, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsKasetsart FC
- Sep 6, 2026SatunvsKanchanaburi