Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu
The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Kasetsart FC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC?
Nong Bua Pitchaya starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,511 vs 1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kasetsart FC have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chiangmai United(home) | 3-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 4-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kasetsart FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Kasetsart FC 3-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-2 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 10-1 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Kasetsart FC 2-4 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Kasetsart FC 0-3 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-0 Kasetsart FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kasetsart FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kasetsart FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Kasetsart FC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th in Thai League 2 (54 points from 34 matches) and Kasetsart FC sit 16th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
| 16 | Kasetsart FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 49 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC?
- The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Kasetsart FC.
- Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC played?
- Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 5, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsSongkhla
- Sep 5, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsEsan Pattaya
- Sep 5, 2026ChanthaburivsKhon Kaen United
- Sep 5, 2026Nakhon PathomvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Sep 6, 2026Police TerovsMuang Loei United
- Sep 6, 2026ChainatvsPhrae United
- Sep 6, 2026SatunvsKanchanaburi