Where and when is Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom played?

Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Chanthaburi Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Chanthaburi Stadium, Chanthaburi

Chanthaburi

Nakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Chanthaburi (1,432) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Chanthaburi win39 %

Draw29 %

Nakhon Pathom win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chanthaburi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chanthaburi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Police Tero(home)	1-1	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Songkhla(away)	1-1	Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026	Nakhon Si Thammarat(away)	1-1	Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026	Sisaket United(away)	0-1	Thai League 2

Nakhon Pathom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Phrae United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Bangkok(home)	0-3	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Mahasarakham United(away)	2-0	Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	0-1	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chanthaburi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nakhon Pathom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 5, 2026	Nakhon Pathom 2-0 Chanthaburi	Thai League 2
Sep 20, 2025	Chanthaburi 1-3 Nakhon Pathom	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Chanthaburi on Feb 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chanthaburi	1.2	1.4	2	11/15	7/15
Nakhon Pathom	1.1	1.1	6	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chanthaburi sit 14th in Thai League 2 (40 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Chanthaburi	34	10	10	14	44	46	40
15	Nakhon Pathom	34	10	9	15	29	37	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?: The Footlab model makes Chanthaburi the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom played?: Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Chanthaburi Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.