Uttaradit vs Satun: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uttaradit Stadium, Uttaradit
The Footlab model makes Uttaradit the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uttaradit vs Satun?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Uttaradit (1,424) and Satun (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uttaradit have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Dec 28, 2025 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Pattaya City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Siwilai(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Uttaradit score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uttaradit | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uttaradit vs Satun?
- The Footlab model makes Uttaradit the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Satun.
- Where and when is Uttaradit vs Satun played?
- Uttaradit vs Satun is played on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uttaradit Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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