Match

Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, Kanchanaburi

KanchanaburiPolice Tero

The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Kanchanaburi (1,543) and Police Tero (1,474).

Kanchanaburi win53 %
Draw25 %
Police Tero win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanchanaburi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kanchanaburi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Ratchaburi(home)0-1Thai League 1
May 2, 2026Chonburi FC(home)2-2Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026Buriram United(home)1-3Thai League 1
Apr 4, 2026BG Pathum United(home)0-2Thai League 1
Mar 21, 2026Rayong FC(away)1-2Thai League 1
Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Kanchanaburi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Police Tero win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 20, 2025Kanchanaburi 0-0 Police TeroFA Cup
Feb 15, 2025Kanchanaburi 2-1 Police TeroThai League 2
Oct 19, 2024Police Tero 1-2 KanchanaburiThai League 2
Nov 16, 2022Kanchanaburi 2-1 Police TeroLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kanchanaburi0.91.847/159/15
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero?
The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Police Tero.
Where and when is Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero played?
Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero is played on October 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kanchanaburi and Police Tero

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