Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, Kanchanaburi
The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Kanchanaburi (1,543) and Police Tero (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kanchanaburi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Kanchanaburi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Police Tero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Kanchanaburi 0-0 Police Tero | FA Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kanchanaburi 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Police Tero 1-2 Kanchanaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Kanchanaburi 2-1 Police Tero | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanchanaburi | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero?
- The Footlab model makes Kanchanaburi the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Police Tero.
- Where and when is Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero played?
- Kanchanaburi vs Police Tero is played on October 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Kanchanaburi Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsPhrae United
- Oct 13, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsMuang Loei United
- Oct 14, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsChiangmai United
- Oct 14, 2026SongkhlavsEsan Pattaya
- Oct 14, 2026ChanthaburivsNakhon Pathom
- Oct 14, 2026Kasetsart FCvsMahasarakham United
- Oct 15, 2026UttaraditvsSatun
- Oct 15, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsChainat