Match

Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina

Chapecoense-scFluminense

The Footlab AI model makes Fluminense the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Chapecoense-sc. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fluminense wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?

Fluminense starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,720).

23%25%52%
Chapecoense-sc winDrawFluminense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Túlio
  1. 88Yago Felipe
  2. 31Garcez
  3. 7Marcinho
  4. 27Camilo
  5. 10Giovanni Augusto
  1. 21Kauan Faria Gomes
  2. 3Doma
  3. 91Bruno Pacheco
  4. 20Bruno Tubarão
  1. 98Anderson

Fluminense

4-2-3-1
  1. 7Hulk
  1. 17A. Canobbio
  2. 16Nonato
  3. 8Martinelli
  4. 32L. Acosta
  5. 90K. Serna
  1. 6Renê
  2. 29J. Millán
  3. 3Thiago Silva
  4. 2Samuel Xavier
  1. 1Fábio

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapecoense-sc have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chapecoense-sc
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Vitoria(away)0-4Serie A
Sep 26, 2026Atletico Nacional(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Atletico-MG(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Internacional(home)1-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Corinthians(away)2-1Serie A
Fluminense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Corinthians(away)3-1Serie A
Sep 15, 2026Platense(away)1-2CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sep 12, 2026Atletico-MG(away)1-3Serie A
Sep 8, 2026Platense(home)2-0CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sep 6, 2026Vasco DA Gama(home)1-0Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chapecoense-sc wins, 2 draws, 4 Fluminense wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Fluminense 2-1 Chapecoense-scSerie A
Dec 10, 2021Fluminense 3-0 Chapecoense-scSerie A
Sep 8, 2021Chapecoense-sc 1-2 FluminenseSerie A
Oct 26, 2019Fluminense 1-1 Chapecoense-scSerie A
Jun 13, 2019Chapecoense-sc 1-1 FluminenseSerie A
Sep 24, 2018Chapecoense-sc 1-2 FluminenseSerie A

Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chapecoense-sc score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chapecoense-sc1.11.838/159/15
Fluminense1.31.2510/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in Serie A (18 points from 28 matches) and Fluminense sit 5th (48 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Fluminense281396443648
20Chapecoense-sc283916295718

A question about Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?
The Footlab AI model makes Fluminense the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Chapecoense-sc.
Where and when is Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense played?
Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Condá, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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