Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Lincoln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sheffield Utd (1,929) and Lincoln (1,981).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lincoln have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sheffield Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lincoln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 0-0 Lincoln | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln on Aug 30, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lincoln | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 15th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Lincoln sit 22nd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 | Lincoln | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?
- The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Lincoln.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.