Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,899) and Ebbsfleet United (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cray Valley PM(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham Town | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Farnham Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ebbsfleet United.
- Where and when is Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Maidstone UtdvsChesham United
- Nov 28, 2026TorquayvsChelmsford City
- Nov 28, 2026BraintreevsAFC Totton
- Nov 28, 2026Billericay TownvsHorsham
- Nov 28, 2026Slough TownvsTonbridge Angels
- Nov 28, 2026Weston-super-MarevsMaidenhead
- Nov 28, 2026Truro CityvsDover
- Nov 28, 2026Folkestone InvictavsHampton & Richmond