Match

Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey

Farnham TownEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,899) and Ebbsfleet United (1,812).

Farnham Town win54 %
Draw24 %
Ebbsfleet United win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Billericay Town(home)2-4National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Slough Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 14, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026AFC Totton(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Eastleigh(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

How many goals should we expect?

Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnham Town1.61.149/158/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Farnham Town4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Farnham Town and Ebbsfleet United

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