Cheltenham vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cheltenham wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Cheltenham (1,667) and Swindon Town (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cheltenham vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1- 18A. Weimann
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 7B. Stevenson
- 33F. Willcox
- 17S. McWilliams
- 25P. Sweeney
- 26J. Shipley
- 6J. Wilson
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 23W. Stanway
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1- 23A. Drinan
- 25J. Thomson
- 2M. Clark
- 24M. Virtue-Thick
- 19J. Snowdon
- 26D. Butler
- 7T. Nichols
- 6J. Ball
- 5S. Negru
- 34B. Kirkman
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Swindon Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cheltenham wins, 1 draw, 3 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swindon Town 2-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Cheltenham 0-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Swindon Town 0-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Swindon Town 3-3 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Cheltenham 2-3 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Swindon Town 0-1 Cheltenham | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Cheltenham on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheltenham sit 5th in League Two (21 points from 14 matches) and Swindon Town sit 13th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
A question about Cheltenham vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cheltenham the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Cheltenham vs Swindon Town played?
- Cheltenham vs Swindon Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.