Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Victoria Września?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Victoria Września (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Victoria Września?
- The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Victoria Września.
- Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Victoria Września played?
- Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Victoria Września is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Elana ToruńvsKluczevia Stargard
- Apr 3, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsBałtyk Koszalin
- Apr 3, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsPolonia Środa
- Apr 3, 2027Gedania GdanskvsFlota Świnoujście
- Apr 3, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsLech Poznań II
- Apr 3, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsKalisz
- Apr 3, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsLuzino
- Apr 3, 2027Lipno StęszewvsKotwica Kórnik