Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Września
The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Victoria Września (1,691) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Września have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Victoria Września win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński 2-3 Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Victoria Września 1-3 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Victoria Września on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Stargard Szczeciński | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Victoria Września sit 16th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stargard Szczeciński | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński?
- The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Victoria Września.
- Where and when is Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński played?
- Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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