Match

Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Września

Victoria WrześniaStargard Szczeciński

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Victoria Września (1,691) and Stargard Szczeciński (1,779).

Victoria Września win30 %
Draw25 %
Stargard Szczeciński win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Września have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stargard Szczeciński have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Victoria Września
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-5III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Luzino(home)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Środa(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)2-5III Liga - Group 2
Stargard Szczeciński
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Luzino(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Środa(away)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Wda Świecie(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Victoria Września win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stargard Szczeciński win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Stargard Szczeciński 2-3 Victoria WrześniaIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 6, 2025Victoria Września 1-3 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Stargard Szczeciński vs Victoria Września on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Victoria Września1.11.748/159/15
Stargard Szczeciński1.71.5510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Victoria Września sit 16th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Stargard Szczeciński52129107
16Victoria Września51044143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński?
The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński played?
Victoria Września vs Stargard Szczeciński is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Victoria Września and Stargard Szczeciński

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