Kalisz vs Chemik Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz
The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalisz vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,716) and Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisz | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kalisz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
- Where and when is Kalisz vs Chemik Bydgoszcz played?
- Kalisz vs Chemik Bydgoszcz is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsNoteć Czarnków
- Apr 10, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsElana Toruń
- Apr 10, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsLipno Stęszew
- Apr 10, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsGrom Nowy Staw
- Apr 10, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsWda Świecie
- Apr 10, 2027LuzinovsUnia Swarzędz
- Apr 10, 2027Victoria WrześniavsStargard Szczeciński
- Apr 10, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsGedania Gdansk