Wda Świecie vs Kalisz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wda Świecie vs Kalisz?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Wda Świecie (1,759) and Kalisz (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kalisz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Kalisz | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Kalisz sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Kalisz?
- The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Kalisz played?
- Wda Świecie vs Kalisz is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsVictoria Września
- Apr 3, 2027Elana ToruńvsKluczevia Stargard
- Apr 3, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsBałtyk Koszalin
- Apr 3, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsPolonia Środa
- Apr 3, 2027Gedania GdanskvsFlota Świnoujście
- Apr 3, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsLech Poznań II
- Apr 3, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsLuzino
- Apr 3, 2027Lipno StęszewvsKotwica Kórnik