Match

Wda Świecie vs Kalisz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą

Wda ŚwiecieKalisz

The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wda Świecie vs Kalisz?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Wda Świecie (1,759) and Kalisz (1,716).

Wda Świecie win45 %
Draw24 %
Kalisz win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kalisz have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wda Świecie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Unia Swarzędz(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Kalisz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)0-2Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wda Świecie1.72.1311/159/15
Kalisz0.91.737/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Kalisz sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Wda Świecie53209511
8Kalisz5221548

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Kalisz?
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Kalisz.
Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Kalisz played?
Wda Świecie vs Kalisz is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wda Świecie and Kalisz

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