Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park, Chengdu
The Footlab model makes Chengdu Better City the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Dalian Zhixing. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing?
Chengdu Better City starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chengdu Better City have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Dalian Zhixing have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 4-5 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Chengdu Better City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dalian Zhixing win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing 2-0 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Dalian Zhixing 0-2 Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Chengdu Better City 2-0 Dalian Zhixing | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Dalian Zhixing vs Chengdu Better City on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chengdu Better City score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dalian Zhixing score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Better City | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Dalian Zhixing | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chengdu Better City sit 1st in Super League (37 points from 15 matches) and Dalian Zhixing sit 3rd (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 37 |
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 48 |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 22 |
| 4 | Dalian Zhixing | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing?
- The Footlab model makes Chengdu Better City the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Dalian Zhixing.
- Where and when is Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing played?
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Chengdu Phoenix Mountain Sports Park, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Tianjin TedavsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 24, 2026Henan JianyevsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 24, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 24, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 24, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShandong Luneng
- Oct 24, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 24, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsQingdao Jonoon