Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan
The Footlab model makes Shandong Luneng the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Wuhan Three Towns. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng?
Shandong Luneng starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wuhan Three Towns have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Shandong Luneng have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wuhan Three Towns win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Shandong Luneng win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 Shandong Luneng | FA Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Shandong Luneng 3-3 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-5 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Shandong Luneng 3-1 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Shandong Luneng 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| May 11, 2024 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wuhan Three Towns score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shandong Luneng score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Shandong Luneng | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th in Super League (8 points from 15 matches) and Shandong Luneng sit 5th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shandong Luneng | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 18 |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 33 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 8 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng?
- The Footlab model makes Shandong Luneng the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Wuhan Three Towns.
- Where and when is Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng played?
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Tianjin TedavsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 24, 2026Henan JianyevsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 24, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 24, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 24, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 24, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 24, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsQingdao Jonoon