Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Tongliang Long Stadium, Chongqing
The Footlab model makes Chongqing Tongliang Long the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Qingdao Jonoon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Chongqing Tongliang Long (1,535) and Qingdao Jonoon (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chongqing Tongliang Long have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Qingdao Jonoon have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chongqing Tongliang Long win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Qingdao Jonoon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chongqing Tongliang Long score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Qingdao Jonoon score 1.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Qingdao Jonoon | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 2nd in Super League (24 points from 15 matches) and Qingdao Jonoon sit 14th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 30 |
| 14 | Qingdao Jonoon | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 10 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon?
- The Footlab model makes Chongqing Tongliang Long the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Qingdao Jonoon.
- Where and when is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon played?
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Tongliang Long Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Tianjin TedavsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 24, 2026Henan JianyevsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 24, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 24, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 24, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 24, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShandong Luneng
- Oct 24, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsYunnan Yukun