Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, Wuhua
The Footlab model makes Shenyang Urban the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Hangzhou Greentown. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Shenyang Urban (1,529) and Hangzhou Greentown (1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shenyang Urban have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hangzhou Greentown have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-4 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Shenyang Urban win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hangzhou Greentown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown 0-5 Shenyang Urban | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2021 | Hangzhou Greentown 1-0 Shenyang Urban | League One |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Shenyang Urban 2-2 Hangzhou Greentown | League One |
| Oct 15, 2020 | Shenyang Urban 1-5 Hangzhou Greentown | League One |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Hangzhou Greentown 1-0 Shenyang Urban | League One |
Last archived meeting: Hangzhou Greentown vs Shenyang Urban on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shenyang Urban score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hangzhou Greentown score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenyang Urban | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hangzhou Greentown | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shenyang Urban sit 8th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and Hangzhou Greentown sit 7th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hangzhou Greentown | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 8 | Shenyang Urban | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Hangzhou Greentown | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 25 |
| 12 | Shenyang Urban | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown?
- The Footlab model makes Shenyang Urban the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Hangzhou Greentown.
- Where and when is Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown played?
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Tianjin TedavsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 24, 2026Henan JianyevsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 24, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 24, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 24, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShandong Luneng
- Oct 24, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 24, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsQingdao Jonoon