Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Qingdao Youth Island the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Yunnan Yukun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Qingdao Youth Island (1,668) and Yunnan Yukun (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qingdao Youth Island have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Yunnan Yukun have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 3-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 4-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Qingdao Youth Island win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Yunnan Yukun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun 2-3 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Qingdao Youth Island 0-0 Yunnan Yukun | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Youth Island on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Qingdao Youth Island score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yunnan Yukun score 2.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Youth Island | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Yunnan Yukun | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qingdao Youth Island sit 6th in Super League (18 points from 15 matches) and Yunnan Yukun sit 4th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 21 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 35 |
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun?
- The Footlab model makes Qingdao Youth Island the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Yunnan Yukun.
- Where and when is Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun played?
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Tianjin TedavsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 24, 2026Henan JianyevsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 24, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 24, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 24, 2026Sichuan JiuniuvsShanghai Shenhua
- Oct 24, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShandong Luneng
- Oct 24, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsQingdao Jonoon